SpaceX CEO Elon Musk says AI compute in space will be the lowest-cost option in 5 years — but Nvidia’s Jensen Huang says it’s a ‘dream’

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk says AI compute in space will be the lowest-cost option in 5 years — but Nvidia's Jensen Huang says it's a 'dream'

Klathra If the AI compute satellite needed to radiate 1 terrawatt of energy and you could run it at 127 C it would need to have 690 km² of surface area, assuming a perfectly black surface for emissivity. As temperature goes up the surface area needed goes down, but even if you could somehow get the electronics to survive much higher temperatures the surface area is still far too large. Am I missing something? Reply

SkyBill40 The efficiency of solar panels would need to make a quantum leap in order to pull off something on this level. That doesn't take into account the other heavy lifting of just getting that mass up there in the first place. And then what? How long before it falls behind newly developed architectures? It's not like it's easy to just send people up there on a mission to hardware swap, especially at some of the orbital levels discussed. I mean… just look at how much work it took to get the HST right. That required multiple shuttle missions to correct. Reply

bit_user vanadiel007 said: Just calculate how many solar panels would be required to generate the amounts of power he's talking about, and you will realize it's a non-starter. I assume the solar panels he'd use would be more efficient, but if we take the example of the ISS, it gets about 100 W/m^2 ( source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_panels_on_spacecraft#Spacecraft_that_have_used_solar_power ). So, 1 TW would require 1 * 10^10 m^2 or about 10,000 km^2 (i.e. 100×100 km array). I wonder how much energy it would take to shoot that mass into orbit, and what the break-even point would be for offsetting that initial energy expenditure vs. just using ground-based solar. Reply

vanadiel007 bit_user said: I assume the solar panels he'd use would be more efficient, but if we take the example of the ISS, it gets about 100 W/m^2 ( source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_panels_on_spacecraft#Spacecraft_that_have_used_solar_power ). So, 1 TW would require 1 * 10^10 m^2 or about 10,000 km^2 (i.e. 100×100 km array). I wonder how much energy it would take to shoot that mass into orbit, and what the break-even point would be for offsetting that initial energy expenditure vs. just using ground-based solar. Exactly, which does not even take into account the herculean task of assembling that in space, and ensuring space debris does not destroy it once it's fully "deployed". And while I am far from a space expert, I am thinking such a structure would cast a huge shadow over earth and likely be visible with the naked eye. It would likely be much more practical and less costly to generate that power here on good old earth. Reply

bit_user SkyBill40 said: The efficiency of solar panels would need to make a quantum leap in order to pull off something on this level. Spacecraft typically use more exotic panel technology than terrestrial applications, I think because it's a lot more economical to launch a smaller panel for a given output level, even if it costs more to manufacture. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_panels_on_spacecraft#Types_of_solar_cells_typically_used SkyBill40 said: And then what? How long before it falls behind newly developed architectures? It's not like it's easy to just send people up there on a mission to hardware swap, especially at some of the orbital levels discussed. Oh, that's where his Optimus robots enter the picture! 🤖 SkyBill40 said: I mean… just look at how much work it took to get the HST right. That required multiple shuttle missions to correct. That was also 40 years ago. Most satellites don't need field maintenance. Due to its orbit, it would be virtually impossible to send a manned service mission to JWST, which is far more complex than Hubble. (if this image doesn't load, see it here: https://www.space.com/james-webb-space-telescope-secondary-mirror-deployed ) Reply

bit_user vanadiel007 said: And while I am far from a space expert, I am thinking such a structure would cast a huge shadow over earth and likely be visible with the naked eye. It wouldn't cast a shadow if it's in a polar orbit that aligns with the dusk/dawn boundary. That's what it would have to use for 24/7 sunlight. Otherwise, you'd need to add batteries, which would be a whole lot more mass to launch and something else that needs maintenance/replacement. Reply

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