
The spending figures are drawn from a chart compiled by Boston Consulting Group and the Semiconductor Industry Association, and report author Scott Kennedy, senior adviser and Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics at CSIS, argues Beijing's chip drive has still amounted to what he calls a "disruptive failure" at the leading edge.
The comparison covers direct industrial policy support across the full semiconductor value chain. South Korea placed second at $55 billion, followed by the EU at $47 billion, Japan at $17.5 billion, and Taiwan at $16 billion. However, the report’s 2014 to 2023 window predates most disbursements from the U.S. CHIPS and Science Act, which was signed into law in August 2022, and it doesn’t capture the third phase of China's Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund (‘Big Fund III’), launched in May 2024 at roughly $47.5 billion.
You may like The state of China's decade-long semiconductor push: still a decade behind, despite hundreds of billions spent and significant progress TSMC considers an additional $100 billion investment into Arizona fabs to bolster American chipmaking efforts China to increase leading-edge chip output by 5x in two years The report draws on 2025 Semiconductor Industry Association data to argue the spending has not yielded a leading-edge breakthrough. U.S.-headquartered chip firms still account for more than 50% of global semiconductor shipments by company headquarters, against 4.5% for Chinese firms.
SMIC's share of global fab production is also placed at roughly 6% as of mid-2025 by the report, ranking it third behind TSMC and Samsung. SMIC sits at least two to three generations behind TSMC on analyst assessments, with reported wafer yields as low as 20% for its 5nm process and 25% to 46% for 7nm, while Intel, Samsung, and TSMC press on with 2nm processes and achieve yields as high as 90% .
SMIC remains realistically locked out of the sub-7nm node without access to ASML's EUV ( and, soon, potentially DUV ) lithography scanners, the report states, and with Kennedy arguing the gap to the cutting edge may widen rather than close. Chinese labs have tried Frankensteining together reverse-engineered EUV tooling , but these haven’t yet produced a single chip. On the design side, Nvidia's share of the global GPU market sits above 90%, with Chinese entrants including Huawei's Ascend series, Alibaba's T-Head, Cambricon, and Moore Threads all trailing on compute performance. Kennedy cites R&D intensity as a further constraint, with American chip firms reinvesting an average of 17.7% of sales into research and development, against 9.2% at Chinese counterparts.
Beijing's Big Fund III, launched in 2024, was aimed at closing gaps in fab tools, EDA software, and AI accelerators. The report cites analyst Jimmy Goodrich characterizing China as likely to remain a "fast-follower" perennially challenged to keep pace with global leaders for the foreseeable future, a conclusion Kennedy endorses in the face of U.S. export controls on advanced lithography and the widening R&D spend gap.
Get Tom's Hardware's best news and in-depth reviews, straight to your inbox.
Key considerations
- Investor positioning can change fast
- Volatility remains possible near catalysts
- Macro rates and liquidity can dominate flows
Reference reading
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/SPONSORED_LINK_URL
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/china-spending-3-6-times-more-than-the-us-on-chipmaking-subsidies#main
- https://www.tomshardware.com
- Linux lays down the law on AI-generated code, says yes to Copilot, no to AI slop, and humans take the fall for mistakes — after months of fierce debate, Torvald
- Intel's promising upcoming Nova Lake-S lineup reportedly includes an iGPU-focused SKU with 12 Xe3P cores — new leak claims a midrange 16-core CPU with powerful
- Small Missouri town ousts half its city council after $6 billion AI data center approval — petition calls for mayor's removal as frustration (and violence) over
- Valve engineer shocks Linux community with game-changing VRAM hack for 8GB GPUs — breakthrough solution turbocharges gaming by prioritizing VRAM for games while
- Tiny 3-inch cube PCs bring a splash of color to the passive PC market with red, orange, green and blue options — Intel Twin Lake-powered Kubb Mini PCs start at
Informational only. No financial advice. Do your own research.