But while the upcoming Ascend NPUs will be considerably faster than their predecessors, particularly for inference, they will remain well behind Nvidia's previous- and current-generation accelerators, at least in raw compute performance. Huawei's 2027 Ascend 960DT is projected to deliver 2 FP8 TFLOPS for training, compared with Nvidia's 4 FP8 TFLOPS for the H200 , released in 2023. The Ascend 960PR is expected to offer 8 FP4 PFLOPS for training, which is far behind Nvidia's B300 , which delivers 15–20 NVFP4 PFLOPS. Even the Ascend 980, targeted for 2029, is projected to reach 7.2 FP8 PFLOPS and 28 FP4 PFLOPS, well below Nvidia's R200, which is on track to deliver 17.5 FP8 PFLOPS and 35/50 FP4 PFLOPS this year.
China’s Huawei to enter South Korean AI chip market with new Atlas SuperPods, clusters pack 8,192 Ascend 950 accelerators per deployment
Huawei details AI accelerator roadmap, pulls in next-generation Ascend NPUs by several quarters
Such a massive performance difference with leading AI hardware will reinforce Huawei's reliance on massive system-level scaling rather than chip-for-chip performance to compete with Nvidia. But massive system-level scaling comes with massive power consumption, which will make Huawei's next-generation Atlas SuperPoDs and SuperClusters considerably less competitive in markets that can access hardware from AMD or Nvidia.
Huawei is in an interesting paradoxical situation. On the one hand, its integration efforts like near-package optics (NPO) clearly free up capacity on 'older' nodes that can be used for other components of AI platforms. But on the other hand, SMIC's inability to ramp production on 7nm and 6nm-class nodes limits Huawei's ability to supply its AI hardware anyway, which is why it can barely meet demand.
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Key considerations
- Investor positioning can change fast
- Volatility remains possible near catalysts
- Macro rates and liquidity can dominate flows
Reference reading
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/SPONSORED_LINK_URL
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/huawei-shelves-global-ai-chip-rollout-as-chinas-own-demand-outstrips-supply-15-488-chip-atlas-clusters-leverage-optical-networking-to-counter-nvidia-scales-to-120-eflops#main
- https://www.tomshardware.com/membership
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Informational only. No financial advice. Do your own research.