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OpenAI has no investment-grade credit rating, and Nvidia's involvement would let SB Energy raise debt against Nvidia's balance sheet instead of its tenant's. Nvidia has already put $30 billion into OpenAI, which has raised its projected compute spending to around $750 billion through 2030, up from roughly $600 billion earlier this year, according to the Journal. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick controls allocation of the site's power, and Anthropic, Microsoft, and Google have all spoken to him about it in recent weeks.
Nvidia's Q1 FY2027 10-Q caps maximum gross exposure across all of its partner facility lease guarantees at $3.5 billion, shrinking as partners pay their lessors, with $712 million sitting in escrow against it. Nvidia took the guarantees in exchange for warrants and carries them as credit derivatives, describing their fair value as immaterial.
The first one, disclosed in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, was capped at $860 million with $470 million of escrow behind it. The partner separately contracted to sell the data center cloud capacity, and Nvidia retained the option to assume the lease for internal use or sublease it if the escrow and that contract came up short. Neither remedy has an obvious equivalent at a 10 GW campus on federal land.
Nvidia held $62.6 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities when fiscal 2026 closed on January 25, against full-year revenue of $215.9 billion and net income of $117 billion. A $250 billion guarantee works out at roughly 71 times the guarantee book Nvidia has disclosed, more than a year of revenue, and about four times its cash.
Nvidia and SK Group enter $500 billion AI partnership
Key considerations
- Investor positioning can change fast
- Volatility remains possible near catalysts
- Macro rates and liquidity can dominate flows
Reference reading
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/data-centers/SPONSORED_LINK_URL
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/data-centers/nvidia-weighs-250-billion-guarantee-so-openai-can-lease-softbanks-10-gigawatt-ohio-campus#main
- https://www.tomshardware.com/membership
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Informational only. No financial advice. Do your own research.