“It will be a long time before we can meet customer demand,” C.C. Wei said. Despite that, TSMC is still forecasting a 30% increase in sales this year. It’s also not taking advantage of the supply bottleneck, with Wei adding that the company will avoid sudden price hikes similar to the memory and storage chip market industry’s experience to ensure business stability.
Hyperscaler buildouts are expected to hit $725 billion just this year. And unless the AI bubble bursts, demand is only expected to go up every year. TSMC has been building many new fabs in Taiwan, the U.S., and other parts of the world. But building these manufacturing plants would take years, and it seems that semiconductor manufacturing demand would outpace supply if the current AI infrastructure build-out continues.
TSMC Arizona’s manufacturing capacity has been sold out through 2027 since early 2025, showing the massive demand for the company’s output. The company is continually expanding this site, too, with its Taiwan headquarters authorizing a $20 billion capital injection last month to continue the development of Fab 21 phase 2. It’s expected that this would allow the company to start mass producing 3nm chips in Arizona in 2027 , which is about a year earlier than the original 2028 launch date. There have also been reports of additional fabs and other units , bringing the total Arizona site to 12 fabs, 4 packaging facilities, and an R&D center.
These production shortages mean that TSMC can expect that their expansion plans will have customers once they’re completed. However, this is also an opportunity for Intel, which is trying to win customers for its 18A and 14A processes. Both Apple and Nvidia are reportedly considering Intel for some of their 2028 chip production, and sources say that the former has already reached a preliminary agreement with Team Blue .
TSMC ups revenue guidance and CapEx, buoyed by 'multiyear AI megatrend'
Key considerations
- Investor positioning can change fast
- Volatility remains possible near catalysts
- Macro rates and liquidity can dominate flows
Reference reading
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/SPONSORED_LINK_URL
- https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/tsmc-ceo-c-c-wei-says-it-will-be-a-long-time-before-we-can-meet-customer-demand-tells-shareholders-that-he-will-keep-prices-stable-refrain-from-implementing-price-hikes#main
- https://www.tomshardware.com/subscription
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Informational only. No financial advice. Do your own research.