Cerebras shares plunge nearly 20% after missing earnings expectations — hardware sales drop but AI cloud revenue climbs 281%

Cerebras shares plunge nearly 20% after missing earnings expectations — hardware sales drop but AI cloud revenue climbs 281%

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For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, Cerebras reported revenue of $180.11 million, up from $103.32 million in Q2 2025. Earnings of the company's cloud services totaled $125.99 million, up dramatically from 33.03 million in the same quarter a year ago, but sales of hardware dropped to $54.12 million from $70.3 million in Q2 2025. Wall Street analysts expected Cerebras to earn $194.23 million during the quarter.

During the quarter, Cerebras' operating expenses rose to $502.79 million (up from $89.28 million a year ago), its gross margin dropped to 14%, and it lost roughly $450.53 million. The main reason behind the company's skyrocketing operating expenses and losses is stock-based compensation triggered by its May IPO. Once the IPO happened, the company had to recognize the value of stock-based compensation as its expenses, as stock-based compensation jumped from $13.3 million in Q2 2025 to $377 million in Q2 2025. Without the stock-based compensation, the company's net loss would be $73.53 million.

That said, the analysts were not disappointed by the huge loss, but rather by the earnings miss, the rapidly dropping hardware sales, and uncertain returns generated by Cerebras' new business model.

Missing earnings expectations for an AI hardware company amid the AI market frenzy is not a thing that happens often. But perhaps more importantly is that Cerebras' hardware sales dropped 23% year-over-year, whereas cloud and other services revenue skyrocketed by 281%. On the one hand, this proves that the company's clients are more willing to buy its compute hardware in the cloud rather than own it, which means stable revenue streams. However, Cerebras' new business model requires Cerebras to put enormous amounts of capital into infrastructure before it can earn its cloud revenue.

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Key considerations

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  • Volatility remains possible near catalysts
  • Macro rates and liquidity can dominate flows

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